Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 59.146643 67.275292 75.637988 84.851092 94.683891 104.833726 116.072572
2025-07-13 48.810993 60.662091 73.439620 88.103015 104.335996 121.638949 141.361764
2025-07-20 42.212761 56.132777 71.670579 90.018912 110.834097 133.482718 159.765822
2025-07-27 35.915124 51.034746 68.479920 89.626058 114.137671 141.281669 173.255525
2025-08-03 30.671887 46.527016 65.411366 88.859170 116.565309 147.718569 184.883057
2025-08-10 26.978344 43.493026 63.739097 89.412160 120.246325 155.358840 197.681589
2025-08-17 23.305867 40.095269 61.306266 88.777145 122.300575 160.941461 207.972766
2025-08-24 20.526860 37.587563 59.756502 89.021438 125.239238 167.425970 219.200723
2025-08-31 17.632829 34.623308 57.389104 88.052196 126.551894 171.873902 227.957827
2025-09-07 15.905766 33.143115 56.835089 89.264497 130.445556 179.321994 240.186693
2025-09-14 14.477447 31.957582 56.570632 90.765601 134.635815 187.085331 252.764376
2025-09-21 12.484133 29.694185 54.677002 90.022899 135.930122 191.290746 261.068763
2025-09-28 10.269229 26.839432 51.805610 87.891392 135.425056 193.308566 266.799675
2025-10-05 9.796659 26.851914 53.023014 91.237534 141.908048 203.889652 282.846396
2025-10-12 9.007392 26.221676 53.242494 93.187936 146.572828 212.224153 296.184678
2025-10-19 7.728727 24.549048 51.806885 92.787853 148.139412 216.693233 304.820359
2025-10-26 6.512560 22.814267 50.160329 92.005237 149.140161 220.411826 312.509348
2025-11-02 5.706625 21.769929 49.509713 92.569506 151.874193 226.271809 322.799623
2025-11-09 4.764995 20.282223 48.059008 91.921556 152.949265 230.012944 330.468954
2025-11-16 4.084731 19.245680 47.266378 92.170830 155.186859 235.198960 339.903780
2025-11-23 3.297842 17.786581 45.675123 91.181796 155.705755 238.168712 346.576197
2025-11-30 2.911361 17.250485 45.607376 92.418837 159.228039 244.961400 357.990156
2025-12-07 2.599616 16.851765 45.747984 93.950378 163.145066 252.260243 370.041907